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Zogby's Take on Election
Wednesday, 03 November 2010
John Zogby's First Take on Elections

Tea Party Shows Power, But Lacks Finesse

November 3--  The Tea party movement reminds me of the story about the gorilla that was taught to play golf. He could hit his tee shot 400 yards and land it two feet from the pin. Then, Mr. Gorilla hit it another 400 yards. To really succeed, the Tea Party needs to do more than just whack the ball. Politics requires a lot of finesse and knowing when to ease up and put the ball in the hole.

Republicans won the House with the great help of the Tea Party's energy and ability to convince so many independent voters that legislation passed by the Democrats was far to the left and against their interests.  However, the Tea Party's push to win primaries for out-of-the-mainstream candidates cost the Republicans any chance of winning the Senate. More generic Republicans would have been heavy favorites to win three states in which the Tea Party backed candidates have lost or appear likely to lose.

Read the rest at Forbes.com.

Voters Will Greet Winners With Skepticism

Beyond the victory of Republicans over Democrats tonight, the biggest loser may be people's faith in government and its ability to bring voters economy security.

Exit polls found 87% worried about the economy, 41% saying they are now worse off financially and 26% angry with the federal government. A Twitter poll conducted in 47 states showed a majority of people in each state saying they were voting against someone, and not in support of their choice.

Read the rest at Forbes.com.

Exit Polls Vindicate Pre-Election Polls

The art of polling is anticipating who will vote, and early numbers from exit polls show that the majority of polls that forecast victories for the Republicans painted an accurate picture of the electorate.

Our own final Zogby Interactive poll weighted our sample to be older with a greater share of white voters and conservatives and diminished numbers of young voters.

Read the rest at Forbes.com.

 
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